It is easier than ever to invest across international borders.  Measuring the risk associated with a country’s banking system is often a key decision international investment decisions.  Banking system z-scores are one way of measuring overall financial risk within a country’s banking system. The banking z-score captures the probability of default of a country’s banking system.

In general, the Z-score compares a bank’s buffers (capitalization and returns) with the volatility of those returns.  The banking z-score for Honduras, Brazil, and Mexico is shown below.

Here is some recent research on measuring banking system risk.

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S104244311300005X

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1753735

http://www.hnb.hr/dub-konf/14-konferencija/ivicic-kunovac-ljubaj-2.pdf